At the beginning of the season if you’d have tried to convince me the Padres, Reds, Braves and Rangers would be leading their divisions I would’ve said there’s a better chance the guy who directed The Passion of the Christ would punch his girlfriend in the mouth.
What? He did….
OK, so I’m not so up on pop (no pun intended) culture, but with the All-Star disaster over I figured I would spend an afternoon eating Pringles with my man-bitch in our hot tub time machine to determine who wins each division.
Now if I just had some money to bet with….
The National League
National League East
The Braves have something old — starting pitchers Derek Lowe (37), Tim Hudson (35) and closer Billy Wagner (38) — something new — starting pitchers Jair Jurrjens (24), Kris Medlen (23) and Tommy Hansen (23) — something borrowed — former Toronto shortstop Alex Gonzalez — and something blue — their uniforms, duh — so obviously Philadelphia will be the National League East bridesmaids for 2010.
In Bobby Cox’s final season the Braves are considered over achievers, but Atlanta’s mix of youth and experience are blending better than bourbon and Coke on a football Saturday afternoon in Athens. Man-child Jason Heyward and Alex Gonzalez will lift an a offense that disappeared at times during the first half.
National League Central
It’s a two team race in the worst division in baseball. Both St. Louis and Cincinnati have feasted on the Milwaukee, Chicago, Houston and Pittsburgh buffet in the first half.
St. Louis, like Boston in the American League, was bitten by the injury iguana; it’s way too severe for a mere bug bite. And while the Reds enjoyed a tremendous first half with unexpected contributions from rookie pitcher Mike Leake and veteran third baseman Scott Rolen, their 49-41 record would only be good enough for third place in both the National League East and West.
When you couple the possibility of starting pitchers Brad Penny and Kyle Lohse returning to bolster the Cards rotation with Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright, along with Albert Pujols’ bombs and Matt Holliday’s hot hitting…well, it’s not hard to forecast fans in the Queen City will be entertaining themselves with Ochocinco’s narcissistic behavior real soon.
Side note: Does St. Louis still have an NFL franchise?
National League West
San Diego’s 3.25 team ERA has been the talk of the season, unfortunately only three teams in the National League — Pittsburgh (284), Houston (307) and Chicago (359) — have scored fewer runs than the NL West leading Padres (376).
I never quite understand how Joe Torre wins with his starting rotation in Los Angeles. Clayton Kershaw and Hiroki Kurada have been solid for the Dodgers but there’s quite a drop off from the big two down to Chad Billingsley and whoever takes John Ely’s spot. That’s fine with me; I don’t dislike the Dodgers, I just dislike LA’s celebra-fans.
Colorado’s recent experience has been to under perform early and turn it on late. The Rockies closed out the first half 8-2, scoring the second most runs in the league, and have a possible Cy Young performance taking place with Ubaldo Jimenez.
Cue the lame-ass ‘it’s too cold to play baseball in the snow’ stories cause Rocktober returns to LoDo this year.
National League Wild Card
When Philadelphia gets Chase Utley and Placido Polanco back in the lineup they’ll quickly make up the 1.5 game wild card deficit.
American League East
You’d have to be the worst physic in the world to not see the Yankees winning this division. When your worst hitter is Jorge Posada you’re a damn good team. The offense is balanced: Robinson Cano leads the team in batting average, Teixiera in home runs, A-Rod in RBIs and Brett Gardner is the team’s on-base percentage leader. The Yankees rank 7th or better in most major offensive statistical categories.
Then there’s the pitching which is….well, it’s Yankees pitching: 7th best in ERA and 3rd best in WHIP.
American League Central
It’s a three-team race right now, but don’t expect that to last much longer as Minnesota and Detroit looked primed for a second-half fade. Even though the White Sox have lost Jake Peavy for the season, they’ve got four starters — Beurhle, Floyd, Danks and Garcia — with double digit quality starts.
The Tigers’ staff rates lower than 20th in ERA, strikeouts and WHIP. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander and first baseman Miguel Cabrera can’t possibly carry this team to the playoffs.
As for the Twins, outside of Carl Pavano and Francisco Liriano there’s not much to get excited about with the rotation — 16th in ERA and 23rd in strikeouts. I’ll always stop down to watch/fantasize about Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau but Vikings fans will be able to focus on the over-hyped Brett Favre saga early this year.
I learned a new cheer this week: Skol Vikings! Still not sure what it means though.
American League West
The Rangers start the second half with the largest lead of any division leader, and they acquired baseball’s best hired gun, Cliff Lee, before the break.
For the first time in over a decade you can comfortably say someone other than the Angels have the best talent in the AL West. This one will not be close.
American League Wild Card
It’s between Boston and Tampa Bay, and even though I think Boston is the better overall team I think the Rays will be the wild card.
Why? Well because I was the one who went in the time machine, but consider this: Tampa Bay may have the best rotation in baseball. Yes, there a big drop off offensively for the Rays, and I know the Red Sox are killing the ball even without Ellsbury, Pedroia, Martinez, Varitek and Lowell, but there’s no guarantee those guys will all come back healthy.
Bonus Coverage: MVPs
American League MVP
In a close race, Rangers outfielder Josh Hamilton will edge Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera, mostly because he will have more opportunities in a lineup that includes Vlad, Kinsler, Young and possibly a much improved Chris Davis.
National League MVP
While their teams battle for the Central in the second half, I saw a heated race between Joey Votto and Albert Pujols for the National League MVP. In the end, it will be Pujols taking the hardware, again.